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Reassessing Woodward's account of explanation:regularities,counterfactuals,and non-causal explanations
Explanation Woodward non-causal scaling-laws
2016/6/15
We reassess Woodward’s counterfactual account of explanation in relation to regularity explananda. Woodward (2005) presents an account of causal explanation. We argue, by using an explanation of Kleib...
Where would we be without counterfactuals?
Russell Cause Causation Monarchy Republicanism Ramsey
2016/6/15
Bertrand Russell’s celebrated essay “On the Notion of Cause” was first delivered to the Aristotelian Society on 4 November 1912, as Russell’s Presidential Address. The piece is best known for a passag...
Relativity,Quantum Entanglement,Counterfactuals,and Causation
Causation Counterfactuals Relativity Entanglement
2016/6/13
We investigate whether standard counterfactual analyses of causation (CACs) imply that the outcomes of space-like separated measurements on entangled particles are causally related. While it has somet...
The role of the Imperfect in Romance Counterfactuals
role of the Imperfect Romance Counterfactuals
2015/9/6
The Imperfect in Romance is used in an array of constructions: progressives, habituals, generics and counterfactual conditionals. The first three all share hallmarks of the Romance Imperfect: they des...
How Does Obama Match-Up?Counterfactuals & the Role of Obama’s Race in 2008
Obama Match-Up Counterfactuals Obama’s Race in 2008
2015/6/4
Would the outcome of the 2008 U.S. presidential election have been different if Barack Obama had not been the Democratic nominee? In this paper we analyze 33 head-to-head matchups, some real and some ...
In a paper entitled “The Grammatical Ingredients of Counterfactuality” that appeared in 2000 in Linguistic Inquiry I explored the morphological markings of what we call counterfactual constructions, p...
The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error As Branching Counterfactuals
Fukushima Counterfactual histories Risk management Epistemology of probability Model errors Fragility and Antifragility Fourth Quadrant
2012/11/23
Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors...
Counterfactuals and non-locality of quantum mechanics
qyantum mechanics non-locality realism
2008/4/22
In the paper the proof of the non-locality of quantum mechanics, given recently by H. Stapp and D. Bedford, and appealing to the GHZ example, is analyzed. The proof does not contain any explicit assum...
Counterfactuals and historical possibility
branching space-times historical counterfactuals comparative closeness betting
2008/4/22
We show that truth conditions for counterfactuals need not always be given in terms of a vague notion of similarity. To this end, we single out the important class of historical counterfactuals and gi...
Discussion: Time-Symmetric Quantum Counterfactuals
Time symmetry counterfactuals probability
2008/4/11
There is a trend to consider counterfactuals as invariably
time-asymmetric. Recently, this trend manifested itself in the
controversy about validity of counterfactual application of a
time-symmetri...
A Glimpse of the Secret Connexion:Harmonising Mechanisms with Counterfactuals
causation mechanisms counterfactuals manipulation
2008/4/9
Among the current philosophical attempts to understand causation two seem to be the most prominent. The first is James Woodward’s counterfactual approach; the second is the mechanistic approach advoca...
On the Role of Counterfactuals in Inferring Causal Effects of Treatments
Causation counterfactuals possible worlds treatment effect
2013/10/18
Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account of causation in terms of Lewis’s possible-world semantics, and reformulates the s...